Senior Economist – Effects of Transformative AI

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Position Overview

CARMA seeks an innovative economist to join our Geostrategic Dynamics team, exploring how advanced AI systems will reshape global economic paradigms, incentive structures, and power dynamics. You’ll develop models to analyze critical risks including labor obsolescence, economic instability, concentration of power, shocks to the financial system, and degraded living standards as AI capabilities accelerate. This research aims to anticipate and identify vulnerabilities in economic systems before they manifest as widespread harms.

You’ll join a collaborative, intellectually rigorous team examining how AI capabilities will transform international economic systems and power dynamics. This role offers significant intellectual autonomy to propose and lead original research while drawing on interdisciplinary expertise from colleagues specializing in international relations, AI, and quantitative modeling.

About CARMA

The Center for AI Risk Management & Alignment (CARMA) works to help society navigate the complex and potentially catastrophic risks arising from increasingly powerful AI systems. Our mission is specifically to lower the risks to humanity and the biosphere from transformative AI.

We focus on grounding AI risk management in rigorous analysis, developing policy frameworks that squarely address AGI, advancing technical safety approaches, and fostering global perspectives on durable safety. Through these complementary approaches, CARMA aims to provide critical support to society for managing the outsized risks from advanced AI before they materialize.

CARMA is a fiscally-sponsored project of Social & Environmental Entrepreneurs, Inc., a 501(c)(3) nonprofit public benefit corporation.

Key Responsibilities

Develop economic models to anticipate how advanced AI systems could create novel systemic risks and vulnerabilities

Build scenarios for potential economic disruptions from rapid AI advancement, including deflation, labor displacement, and market concentration

Model how AI-driven productivity changes could interact with existing economic structures to create new forms of inequality or disruption

Analyze potential concentration of power dynamics across markets, regions, and demographic groups as AI capabilities advance

Identify early warning indicators for economic instability, financial system shocks, and deteriorating standards of living

Translate complex economic risk analyses into actionable insights and present to policymakers, multilateral institutions, and other key stakeholders

Collaborate with interdisciplinary experts to integrate economic risk perspectives into broader AI safety considerations

Qualifications

Required

Advanced degree (PhD preferred) in Economics with expertise in labor economics and international economics

Demonstrated ability to rethink traditional economic models in response to paradigmatic disruptions

Strong publication or research record showing original thinking on economic systems and risks

Comfortable with uncertainty and using limited data, to predict novel economic phenomena

Excellent writing skills with proven ability to communicate complex economic concepts to non-specialist audiences

Self-motivated researcher with demonstrated interest in AI’s systemic risks

Strong critical thinking skills for evaluating competing economic theories in unprecedented scenarios

Familiarity with US and EU policy landscapes and basic understanding of international relations

Systems thinking capability to identify complex interdependencies between economic factors

Preferred

Training in econometrics or other applied quantitative methods

Coding proficiency (e.g., Python, R, or Rust) for economic risk modeling

Experience working in policy, multilateral institutions, or government contexts

Understanding of systemic risk analysis and complex adaptive systems

Knowledge of AI capabilities and their potential economic impacts

Background in macroprudential analysis or financial stability research

Experience with scenario planning or other foresight methodologies for identifying emerging risks

Familiarity with political economy approaches to power distribution and concentration

Experience analyzing the impacts of technological transitions or structural economic changes

Background in behavioral economics relevant to human responses to economic disruption

CARMA/SEE is proud to be an Equal Opportunity Employer. We will not discriminate on the basis of race, ethnicity, sex, age, religion, gender reassignment, partnership status, maternity, or sexual orientation. We are, by policy and action, an inclusive organization and actively promote equal opportunities for all humans with the right mix of talent, knowledge, skills, attitude, and potential, so hiring is only based on individual merit for the job. Our organization operates through a fiscal sponsor whose infrastructure only supports persons authorized to work in the U.S. as employees. Candidates outside the U.S. would be engaged as independent contractors with project-focused responsibilities. Note that we are unable to sponsor visas at this time.

$140,000 – $190,000 a year

plus good benefits for U.S. employees

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